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Economy

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Forecasting folly: Turn off financial TV & news

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Real S&P 500 index periods of zero returns since 1905

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Good things have been increasing

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Bad things have been declining

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Price changes in consumer goods and services in the USA since 1997

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Dispersion between growth and value (1995-2000) and (2000-2005)

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GDP comparison US states vs. countries

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Real home prices have risen in most markets since 2000, but especially in highest-cost metros

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Amherst home price appreciation (HPA) index and fundamental value (Dec 1994- Nov 2021)

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Real home prices have continued to climb for nearly a decade

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