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New York Fed recession probability model since 1960

New York Fed recession probability model since 1960.png

Industry composition in MSCI emerging market index: 1995-2018

Industry composition in MSCI emerging market index 1995-2018.png

2019: One of the strongest starts ever

2019 One of the strongest starts ever.png

Probability of success: funding real $45,616

Probability of success funding real 45616.png

Impact of first-year portfolio return on second-year withdrawal rate for a 4% initial withdrawal rate

Impact of first-year portfolio return on second-year withdrawal rate for a 4% initial withdrawal rate.png

Subsequent return to recover from a 10% portfolio loss when distributions are taken

Subsequent return to recover from a 10% portfolio loss when distributions are taken.png

Longevity risk

Longevity risk.png

S&P 500 cumulative price return versus total return since inception

S&P 500 cumulative price return versus total return since inception.png

Globalization and global profit margins since 1995

Globalization and global profit margins since 1995.png

Average tariff rate for select countries since 1830

Average tariff rate for select countries since 1830.png

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