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NDRG global recession probability model vs. MSCI ACWI

NDRG global recession probability model vs. MSCI ACWI.png

U.S. historical drawdowns in the Value Premium (HML) have been followed by recoveries

U.S. historical drawdowns in the Value Premium (HML) have been followed by recoveries.png

Value vs. Growth since 1936

Value vs. Growth since 1936.png

Equities outperformed 1-month T-bill only 80% of the time on a rolling 10-year basis

Equities outperformed 1-month T-bill only 80% of the time on a rolling 10-year basis.png

The long-term value premium requires a strategic lens

The long-term value premium requires a strategic lens.png

Worst equity excess return drawdowns across countries (USD terms)

Worst equity excess return drawdowns across countries (USD terms).png

Rankings of equity excess returns by decade

Rankings of equity excess returns by decade.png

Equity market cumulative excess returns since 1900

Equity market cumulative excess returns since 1900.png

Risk averse sentiment exists across all regions

Risk averse sentiment exists across all regions.png

The strong labor market tells us we are late cycle

The strong labor market tells us we are late cycle.png

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