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Average return % of the 12 periods when 10-year US treasury yields rose more than 100 basis points, since 1993

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Net change in House of Representatives seats controlled by president's party from midterm elections since 1934

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Patient + active delivers excess net returns

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Growth of $1,000,000 (1999-2021)

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Diversified portfolio and S&P 500 index returns since 1999

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S&P 500 average annual returns: 10.5%

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Index yield and resulting forward returns since 1991

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Index yields per unit of interest rate risk are at the lowest ever

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Historically, forward-looking returns have been closely correlated to starting yields

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Forecasting folly: Turn off financial TV & news

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